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Frozen pre-match forecast · #105973

Eidsvold VS Skeid

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
83.76%
Draw
10.38%
Away
5.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0406
Log loss
0.1772

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
ff9dca3f74b45eb4ce6f5ecd8a65b38cb43d6fa4f18f4954253db5688c864137

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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