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Frozen pre-match forecast · #105936

Khovd Western VS Hunters

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.90%
Draw
13.10%
Away
76.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0866
Log loss
0.2744

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
1a2d0af32a009afe8f86f86c483400884d16eb9d114cb026a236798679c849ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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