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Frozen pre-match forecast · #10577

Vasalund VS Assyriska FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 06:09 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.55%
Draw
32.24%
Away
56.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.3090
Log loss
0.5761

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 06:09 UTC
SHA-256
10a25691ff3a09f9bc557518a793a62769d8e97069c416766470bc9688ba00f4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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