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Frozen pre-match forecast · #105468

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii VS Progresul Pecica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.24%
Draw
23.94%
Away
34.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5239
Log loss
0.8859

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
093e35c7ce4b70cebadfa6f8c322cff16a93197b70d6b65ac1581fafb90a838c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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