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Frozen pre-match forecast · #105015

12 de Junio VH VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.63%
Draw
27.60%
Away
27.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8005
Log loss
1.2875

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
4ff4efa5106e09fb0dbcb2caa88aed98f914d7e29ec53e0b1d020ee6df1fa2be

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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