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Frozen pre-match forecast · #104975

Mladost Lješkopolje VS Lovćen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.87%
Draw
24.07%
Away
20.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2929
Log loss
0.5821

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
0aa61e73d1fa085d44d308c85bca954ae43d92a8acc9ed1d53f299525f76239e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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