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Frozen pre-match forecast · #104774

Fana VS Åsane II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.61%
Draw
16.13%
Away
14.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1387
Log loss
0.3623

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
261d0b21b8527e55504560af1ea2657e5b1c23be6afa5615150ae5a82f85d526

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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