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Frozen pre-match forecast · #104713

Burgos VS Sabadell

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.59%
Draw
26.91%
Away
19.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
79f8bdb9b747854e6d554627818c6ea6c1fdf52381bc7569193ca517f3a4f6b9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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