Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #104647

Swieqi United VS Sirens

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.28%
Draw
23.21%
Away
29.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
SHA-256
1e6368451590c307ae5c9914ae79d40df13dbbd19f7003b546ad3f239cd25d50

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →