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Frozen pre-match forecast · #104528

FC Copenhagen VS Aarhus

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.42%
Draw
23.12%
Away
23.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
SHA-256
ff26ae6f4564ee00c14290d550bdb627aaab8a00212294482b4c973a4c6885d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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