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Frozen pre-match forecast · #104485

Enyimba VS Warri Wolves

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.82%
Draw
25.61%
Away
15.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9236
Log loss
1.3621

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 16:02 UTC
SHA-256
f8017581cd2413c7ac62af4a1689b00bfc72e5e6b8c701d94689ddf25659f861

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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