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Frozen pre-match forecast · #104375

Halmstad VS Hammarby FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.13%
Draw
18.32%
Away
70.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1327
Log loss
0.3489

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
9e7845e658030cef44f98be766a9e97d988eddbf6d94b5310e2b13f63c14f84c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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