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Frozen pre-match forecast · #104121

Kilkisiakos VS Mpam

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.74%
Draw
25.43%
Away
29.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
e9b9142564fe66b540e74dbc3cb7a4b6059265d780873642461251d9f4063f69

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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