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Frozen pre-match forecast · #103904

Söke 1970 VS Denizli İYG

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.07%
Draw
24.83%
Away
18.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9235
Log loss
1.3931

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
7d786e408ace73a3c101c56d385e2d8272c4300568d2ea53e0b990378d6df403

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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