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Frozen pre-match forecast · #103710

Getafe II VS Albacete II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.64%
Draw
19.98%
Away
11.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1245
Log loss
1.6103

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
02262c35f3bc7921f6538256bf1548921058558fb9ae4a2bde91e31c7fb93e9f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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