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Frozen pre-match forecast · #103672

Zbrojovka Brno II VS Zlín II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.94%
Draw
18.75%
Away
14.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1649
Log loss
0.4013

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
8eec9eb1989bf2e9ee91a09d112d185ecc7201eded4c541ab5423d124a8f61da

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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