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Frozen pre-match forecast · #103608

Khroub VS Teleghma

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.95%
Draw
24.78%
Away
14.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9577
Log loss
1.3950

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
06f2dfffb8e15b59695974e77bbc6ee218a6bf573ea10a3d28352d10098b7a78

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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