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Frozen pre-match forecast · #103401

Oborishte VS Yantra 2019

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.52%
Draw
23.56%
Away
57.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2669
Log loss
0.5461

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
aced96d162ac4c80e4c06a03dd2fc6036bb48335dad278e24b3c848d2cc38496

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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