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Frozen pre-match forecast · #10335

Mineiros VS Grêmio Anápolis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 06:04 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.97%
Draw
32.78%
Away
33.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6540
Log loss
1.0797

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 06:04 UTC
SHA-256
d071d7dfe1497749e81b6061f7ac1ad202c78530e959c09ba5bafdb10b6a7fda

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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