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Frozen pre-match forecast · #103008

Radomlje VS Koper

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.95%
Draw
23.30%
Away
57.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9576
Log loss
1.4566

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
5dcfc7c149edf7d691e56eb907736310fcc88bc4e0354843933eda94c539db1f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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