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Frozen pre-match forecast · #10282

Al Ahli Doha VS Al Shahaniya

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 06:03 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.36%
Draw
29.14%
Away
41.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5134
Log loss
0.8796

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 06:03 UTC
SHA-256
df209b54c19fd610c05384dfd1b1a5c987a4859b32d1a95cf321599383d17686

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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