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Frozen pre-match forecast · #102755

Schötz VS Bassecourt

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
70.59%
Draw
16.34%
Away
13.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1303
Log loss
0.3483

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
88a5b4bb86dd5097067912bcc215fbe7dc466b7089ca3655ff111354ff05d2ca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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