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Frozen pre-match forecast · #102298

Fram VS Brumunddal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
85.77%
Draw
8.74%
Away
5.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0309
Log loss
0.1534

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
ef927a7b97d34b8280c2eaf39d6634873d6f16593f42d2d1a816661230ee07ab

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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