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Frozen pre-match forecast · #102272

Ayia Napa VS Enosis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.70%
Draw
24.74%
Away
52.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3378
Log loss
0.6432

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
1cf082e619c62b06457265f01598ba7bd436d1740e0e3827cab9432d62721260

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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