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Frozen pre-match forecast · #102248

Holstebro VS Brønshøj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.11%
Draw
21.26%
Away
57.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.2693
Log loss
0.5511

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
25bcb782ecfbb2a9bae9133f70334d97f025567e4c3c4ff595859628cba6817c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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