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Frozen pre-match forecast · #102057

Eidsvold VS Skeid

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
85.10%
Draw
9.69%
Away
5.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0343
Log loss
0.1613

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
f089b423b4ae7d4050b0d87d1077ae8d8bffe5c8eca6184a0b1771eba4fae8e3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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