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Frozen pre-match forecast · #101963

Trelleborg VS Kristianstad

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.43%
Draw
21.78%
Away
17.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2357
Log loss
0.5037

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
6758906b21010d22592d895e6b9c2fce5506428e6fc82f7b3decb8d0c5f79033

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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