Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #101901

Slovan Liberec II VS Chrudim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.05%
Draw
22.09%
Away
24.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8948
Log loss
1.3919

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
20c16162f2d2fcc60a7b5469988ef2b3c46701c90ea05870fd5790f92cfa71d5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →