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Frozen pre-match forecast · #10168

Antalyaspor VS Van BB

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.85%
Draw
28.17%
Away
21.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3792
Log loss
0.6962

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:59 UTC
SHA-256
15d9746c56965cd443f41e2416f9512da07c301eeaece365e19e664317e34d1d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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