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Frozen pre-match forecast · #101562

Sânmartin VS Bihorul Beiuş

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.14%
Draw
24.26%
Away
19.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0204
Log loss
1.6296

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
09e8bcda5dbe8cf267258ac125f365198efa3e68a39e77b0d86719458ca68374

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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