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Frozen pre-match forecast · #10112

Anagennisi Karditsas VS Panionios

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.42%
Draw
33.23%
Away
47.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7077
Log loss
1.1017

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:58 UTC
SHA-256
7b6a6d2521b2bc925e14e9983c59c907f369dcdc86d36d04d68f2401ab83d5ab

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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