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Frozen pre-match forecast · #101106

12 de Junio VH VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.70%
Draw
27.52%
Away
27.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8023
Log loss
1.2903

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
6824869056911d21e8f18b1bd11bbec962dfb2a3757c1ca886ef9356fe8fbe6b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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