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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100909

Enyimba VS Plateau United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.31%
Draw
26.16%
Away
17.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2900
Log loss
0.5742

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
f9e27e1dc6794ea2acdc725d63a19acdf1b7f47a8462343619e0fc2dfa7eedb8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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