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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100886

Pozoblanco VS Linense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.92%
Draw
28.08%
Away
31.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5240
Log loss
0.8936

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
febac470b8a43259c968abe186da421bb2c3ab6942c393665c9aa6e15d91bc02

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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