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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100812

Berane VS Jedinstvo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.55%
Draw
26.77%
Away
48.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3954
Log loss
0.7200

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
b8b273be7cc0b246222df2d4ec02698bd16e5c9bfc74b6cabf777b73a2a11bc1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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