Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #100696

Veria VS Vatolakkos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.46%
Draw
22.25%
Away
12.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1839
Log loss
0.4237

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
ec6174f1fb59d57735bbad49e37781ba5575ffa10c0a571758d2d3a2c230f122

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →