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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100642

Velká Bíteš VS Bedrichov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
85.05%
Draw
10.87%
Away
4.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0358
Log loss
0.1619

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
467b6d37de98b63a75c32bc7f6034140490b5e522206fae8125c18e15568669a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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