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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100604

Kolbotn W VS Klepp W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.97%
Draw
18.54%
Away
14.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1645
Log loss
0.4009

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
5a2dfe43f36ed42f6eb4bf0e8da17c5ad970dc0bdc7201709e46ce50c598d8c6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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