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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100573

Tromsdalen Uil VS Levanger

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.63%
Draw
21.66%
Away
52.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8778
Log loss
1.3614

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
d6dd99e4eb996391fb5c0bfbcfbbe8057ad764a289eb5ead180517fcf33d9e0f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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