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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100451

Central Cordoba VS Yupanqui

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.09%
Draw
25.67%
Away
18.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2920
Log loss
0.5782

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
e0c0f3593ec70adafe6b8e8ebb6c6eab1a61c8cb795695f6187d92d635d6d800

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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