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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100412

Okwawu VS Attram de Visser

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.93%
Draw
28.78%
Away
32.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5601
Log loss
0.9435

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
58378c0b6386309495d8c4dfd7e9430312a391296f3d6c343664fa80b82af495

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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