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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100347

CS Constantine VS US Biskra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.35%
Draw
24.06%
Away
14.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2286
Log loss
0.4886

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
c278bcb0e722138afd8bcbdc8adf372e22b2a2606921232cf629c38dc72e2884

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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