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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100192

Teleghma VS USM Annaba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Match kickoff
13 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.54%
Draw
29.27%
Away
39.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7079
Log loss
1.1539

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 02:00 UTC
SHA-256
d55e9e6ba66a19a6978f09e83e5136a07590f0d8c0a7d2bb1c13a8f9b785bbb3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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