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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1001

Renate VS Dolomiti Bellunesi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.96%
Draw
30.76%
Away
33.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7195
Log loss
1.1790

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
9c24185e0aac40a094f071ef459be3b3d3f1b8f5db79c7de8257a153a430ed46

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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