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Frozen pre-match forecast · #100010

Westchester SC VS Union Omaha

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.93%
Draw
24.02%
Away
44.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7152
Log loss
1.1417

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
04 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC
SHA-256
e5101ab779b445c0776294482e2dc734a44d4349e2ed005317f6f86d49f1403b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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