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Penarol VS Progreso

Penarol logo

Penarol

A. Hernandez 90'
1-1
Full Time
Progreso logo

Progreso

N. Lopez 26'
Estadio Centenario Saturday, Oct 10, 2026 At 17:30 Edt Mathias De Armas

Predicted Outcome

Missed
Home 66.85%

Prediction

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Model probabilities are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Outcome probability

Home
66.85%
Draw
20.89%
Away
12.26%

Model expected goals

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Goal probabilities

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Recent Form

All competitions · Earlier completed matches, with a four-hour cutoff buffer. Scores include extra time where played; penalty shootouts are excluded.

Head to Head

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See every moment of this match

Goals, cards and substitutions minute by minute are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
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Events

Team form (last 5)

Penarol Penarol W D W D W
Progreso Progreso L W W L L

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See the confirmed line-ups

Confirmed line-ups, formations and the bench are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
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Starting XI

Formation

Substitutes

Team form (last 5)

Penarol Penarol W D W D W
Progreso Progreso L W W L L

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See the full match statistics

Shots, possession, passing and the full match stats are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
  • Track your favourites Follow your teams and competitions and get new insights for them.
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Match Statistics

Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Passes
Corners
Fouls

Team form (last 5)

Penarol Penarol W D W D W
Progreso Progreso L W W L L

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Get the full match analysis

The full model analysis, probabilities and market values are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
  • Advanced statistics Expected goals, form and team comparisons across the metrics that matter.
  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
  • Track your favourites Follow your teams and competitions and get new insights for them.
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Match probability

Home

Draw

Away

Expected goals (xG)

Home

Away

Shot locations

Team form (last 5)

Penarol Penarol W D W D W
Progreso Progreso L W W L L

League Position

Season 2026 · Latest available table, not the standings at kickoff.

Penarol Penarol 63 Points 1
Progreso Progreso 32 Points 15

Quick Links

Match information

Competition
Primera División
Round
Clausura - 10
Date
October 10, 2026
Time
17:30
Stadium
Estadio Centenario
City
Montevideo
Capacity
60,235
Surface
Natural grass
Weather (forecast)
13°C, Clear sky

Frequently Asked Questions about Penarol vs Progreso

Find the answers to the most common questions here.

The final score was Penarol 1 - 1 Progreso.

The match will be played at Estadio Centenario in Montevideo..

This match is part of the Primera División (2026 season, Clausura - 10).

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