Neftchi Baku VS Araz
Neftçi Arena
Sunday, Oct 19, 2025 At 10:30 Edt
Recent Form
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2026
Neftchi Baku
VS
Araz
2 - 1
Neftchi Baku
VS
Araz
Premyer Liqa
Neftçi Arena
2025
Feb 1, 2026
Araz
VS
Neftchi Baku
0 - 4
Araz
VS
Neftchi Baku
Premyer Liqa
İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu
2025
Oct 19, 2025
Neftchi Baku
VS
Araz
2 - 2
Neftchi Baku
VS
Araz
Premyer Liqa
Neftçi Arena
2025
Mar 29, 2025
Neftchi Baku
VS
Araz
1 - 1
Neftchi Baku
VS
Araz
Premyer Liqa
Neftçi Arena
2024
Jan 26, 2025
Araz
VS
Neftchi Baku
2 - 1
Araz
VS
Neftchi Baku
Premyer Liqa
İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu
2024
Match Events
Neftchi Baku
Araz
19'
⚽
19'
⚽
B. Sambou
28'
Igor Ribeiro
Yellow Card
28'
F. Santos
Yellow Card
29'
Yellow Card
29'
F. Santos
Yellow Card
33'
B. Sambou
Yellow Card
33'
S. D'Almeida
Yellow Card
36'
⚽
36'
⚽
B. Simakala
47'
⚽
47'
⚽
B. Simakala
55'
⚽
55'
⚽
E. Mahmudov
56'
⚽
E. Mahmudov
60'
⇄
S. D'Almeida
On: S. D'Almeida
Off: I. Mathew
Substitution
62'
Yellow Card
62'
F. Vargas
Yellow Card
65'
⇄
F. Santos
On: F. Santos
Off: H. Keyta
Substitution
65'
⇄
C. Diniyev
On: C. Diniyev
Off: B. Cohen
Substitution
66'
⇄
F. Santos
On: F. Santos
Off: H. Keyta
Substitution
66'
⇄
C. Diniyev
On: C. Diniyev
Off: B. Cohen
Substitution
69'
⇄
M. Ahmadzada
On: M. Ahmadzada
Off: N. Rodrigues
Substitution
69'
⇄
B. Hasanalizada
On: B. Hasanalizada
Off: Wanderson
Substitution
70'
⇄
B. Hasanalizada
On: B. Hasanalizada
Off: Wanderson
Substitution
70'
⇄
M. Ahmadzada
On: M. Ahmadzada
Off: N. Rodrigues
Substitution
77'
⇄
J. Rezabala
On: J. Rezabala
Off: L. Ortiz
Substitution
78'
Yellow Card
78'
L. Ortiz
Yellow Card
88'
⇄
I. Faraj
On: I. Faraj
Off: M. Mammadov
Substitution
88'
⇄
B. Sambou
On: B. Sambou
Off: A. Salyanskiy
Substitution
89'
⇄
B. Sambou
On: B. Sambou
Off: A. Salyanskiy
Substitution
89'
⇄
I. Faraj
On: I. Faraj
Off: M. Mammadov
Substitution
90'+4
⇄
Alxasov
On: Alxasov
Off: Bruno Franco
Substitution
Lineups
Neftchi Baku
Starting XI
Igor Ribeiro
#5
S. D'Almeida
#6
8
E. Mahmudov
#8
B. Sambou
#9
F. Vargas
#10
I. Faraj
#11
K. Piric
#13
E. Badalov
#15
J. Rezabala
#23
M. Seck
#24
F. Sacko
#77
Substitutes
7
E. Safarov
17
M. Khachayev
18
I. Mathew
47
M. Mammadov
Araz
Starting XI
5
Alxasov
#5
P. Andrade
#6
C. Diniyev
#8
F. Santos
#10
B. Simakala
#11
C. Avram
#12
I. Paro
#17
24
M. Ahmadzada
#24
34
U. Abbasov
#34
C. Boli
#70
Substitutes
16
Ramon Machado
22
E. Mustafayev
Match Statistics
Match statistics not available
Statistics are not available for this match yet.
Team Comparison
57.8
Overall Strength
44.2
56.4%
Attacking Power
43.6%
64.4%
Defensive Strength
35.6%
55.2%
Current Form
44.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Neftchi Baku
Araz
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
39%
|
24%
Avg Total Goals
2.7
|
3.1
Cards Analysis
Neftchi Baku
1.6/Game
51
2
0-15'
3
16-30'
6
31-45'
10
46-60'
12
61-75'
9
76-90'
13
Araz
2.3/Game
75
1
0-15'
6
16-30'
10
31-45'
12
46-60'
11
61-75'
18
76-90'
19
Season Comparison
2025/2026
Neftchi Baku
16W 11D 0L
|
57:32
|
1.79 ppg
Araz
13W 7D 0L
|
44:58
|
1.39 ppg
2024/2025
Neftchi Baku
10W 13D 0L
|
39:49
|
1.19 ppg
Araz
15W 13D 0L
|
34:29
|
1.61 ppg
2023/2024
Neftchi Baku
16W 8D 0L
|
51:40
|
1.56 ppg
Araz
9W 9D 0L
|
31:50
|
1 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
55.9%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
74.0%
Both Teams Score
No
66.5%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Neftchi Baku
18.5%
Draw
55.9%
Araz
25.6%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
57.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 99.6% | Good | N/A |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 99.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 98.9% | Good | N/A |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 92.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Red Card | No | 90.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 89.6% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 89.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 83.1% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 81.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 80.0% | Good | N/A |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 80.0% | Good | N/A |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 74.0% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 73.6% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 67.7% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 66.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 59.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Draw | 55.9% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 55.8% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 53.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 52.3% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.9% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Most Likely Score | 0-0 | 16.9% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
81.8%
Over 1.5
52.3%
Over 2.5
26.0%
Over 3.5
10.4%
Under 0.5
16.9%
Under 1.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
73.6%
Under 3.5
89.5%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.3%
HT Draw
50.9%
HT Away Win
21.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
55.8%
Goals After 80'
32.3%
Goals Both Halves
40.9%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
1.1%
Over 11 Corners
0.1%
Home Most Corners
80.0%
Goal from Corner
35.8%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
7.2%
Over 5 Cards
0.5%
Red Card
9.8%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
0.4%
Home More Shots
80.0%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
48.7%
Away Exceed xG
48.2%
Total xG Over 2.5
26.4%
High xG Variance
38.9%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
25.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
4.2
Total Cards
1.6
League Position
Neftchi Baku
59 Points
4
Araz
46 Points
6