Necaxa VS Toluca
Recent Form
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2026
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
0 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2025
Jul 12, 2025
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
3 - 1
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Mar 8, 2025
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
5 - 2
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Oct 27, 2024
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
1 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2024
Feb 10, 2024
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
3 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2023
Match Events
Necaxa
Toluca
12'
⚽
M. Quiroga
Assist: J. Angulo
37'
⚽
E. Gigliotti
Assist: L. Hernández
67'
⇄
J. Delgado
On: J. Delgado
Off: D. Álvarez
Substitution
74'
⇄
M. Quiroga
On: M. Quiroga
Off: E. Herrera
Substitution
75'
⇄
Diego
On: Diego
Off: A. Canelo
Substitution
82'
⇄
J. Angulo
On: J. Angulo
Off: R. Contreras
Substitution
83'
⇄
E. Gigliotti
On: E. Gigliotti
Off: R. Cruz
Substitution
89'
⇄
F. Pardo
On: F. Pardo
Off: K. Castañeda
Substitution
Lineups
Necaxa
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
H. González
#1
M. Quiroga
#9
M. Salas
#10
J. González
#16
J. Delgado
#17
F. Gallegos
#18
J. Angulo
#20
R. Chávez
#22
C. Baeza
#23
R. Noya
#24
V. Alvarado
#31
Substitutes
Toluca
(5-3-2)
Starting XI
A. Talavera
#1
F. Tobio
#2
J. Maidana
#5
A. Chalá
#6
M
E. Gigliotti
#9
Diego
#10
A. Ríos
#15
F. Pardo
#17
R. Ruíz
#23
L. Hernández
#30
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Necaxa
Toluca
57%
Possession
43%
14
Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
3
3
Blocked Shots
5
18
Fouls
6
4
Corners
7
3
Offsides
2
2
Saves
4
429
Passes
323
349
Accurate Passes
242
81%
Pass Accuracy
75%
Team Comparison
52.7
Overall Strength
39.3
60.9%
Attacking Power
39.1%
53.3%
Defensive Strength
46.7%
67.1%
Current Form
32.9%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Necaxa
Toluca
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
31%
|
18%
Avg Total Goals
3.2
|
2.7
Cards Analysis
Necaxa
2.4/Game
74
2
0-15'
2
16-30'
9
31-45'
16
46-60'
10
61-75'
13
76-90'
26
Toluca
2.4/Game
62
4
0-15'
5
16-30'
10
31-45'
10
46-60'
10
61-75'
12
76-90'
19
Season Comparison
2019/2020
Necaxa
14W 6D 0L
|
57:44
|
1.5 ppg
Toluca
6W 9D 0L
|
32:44
|
0.96 ppg
2018/2019
Necaxa
12W 10D 0L
|
52:54
|
1.28 ppg
Toluca
15W 7D 0L
|
59:50
|
1.44 ppg
2017/2018
Necaxa
10W 16D 0L
|
40:30
|
1.35 ppg
Toluca
21W 11D 0L
|
62:47
|
1.76 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
35.2%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
65.3%
Both Teams Score
Yes
65.1%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Necaxa
35.2%
Draw
33.0%
Toluca
31.8%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.5% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 96.5% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 84.9% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 84.9% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 82.8% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 71.5% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 68.4% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 65.3% | Fair |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 65.3% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 65.1% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 63.9% | Fair |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 62.7% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 62.2% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 58.8% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 56.7% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 56.7% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 51.6% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.0% | Fair |
| Match Result | Home Win | 35.2% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 9.6% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.5%
Over 1.5
84.9%
Over 2.5
65.3%
Over 3.5
43.3%
Under 0.5
3.5%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
56.7%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.1%
HT Draw
51.0%
HT Away Win
20.9%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
71.5%
Goals After 80'
31.6%
Goals Both Halves
62.7%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
37.8%
Over 11 Corners
17.3%
Home Most Corners
51.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
36.2%
Home More Shots
58.8%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
53.6%
Away Exceed xG
51.2%
Total xG Over 2.5
65.3%
High xG Variance
46.8%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
8.7
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Necaxa
31 Points
5
Toluca
17 Points
17