Middlesbrough VS Derby
4-1
Full Time
Recent Form
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2026
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2025
Nov 29, 2025
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
Championship
Riverside Stadium
2025
Mar 1, 2025
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
Championship
Riverside Stadium
2024
Aug 17, 2024
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Derby
VS
Middlesbrough
Championship
Pride Park Stadium
2024
Feb 12, 2022
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
4 - 1
Middlesbrough
VS
Derby
Championship
Riverside Stadium
2021
Match Events
Middlesbrough
Derby
15'
⚽
L. Buchanan
Own Goal
27'
Marcus Tavernier
Yellow Card
Argument
27'
Tom Lawrence
Yellow Card
Argument
31'
Matt Crooks
Yellow Card
Foul
39'
⚽
M. Bird
44'
⚽
A. Connolly
Assist: I. Jones
45'+2
⚽
M. Crooks
Assist: I. Jones
46'
⇄
L. Thompson
On: L. Thompson
Off: F. Ebosele
Substitution
50'
Jonathan Howson
Yellow Card
Foul
66'
⇄
M. Crooks
On: M. Crooks
Off: R. McGree
Substitution
66'
⇄
K. Bielik
On: K. Bielik
Off: R. Morrison
Substitution
83'
⇄
C. Forsyth
On: C. Forsyth
Off: M. Ebiowei
Substitution
87'
Malcolm Ebiowei
Yellow Card
Foul
88'
⇄
A. Connolly
On: A. Connolly
Off: D. Watmore
Substitution
89'
⚽
D. Watmore
Assist: F. Balogun
90'+2
⇄
F. Balogun
On: F. Balogun
Off: A. Šporar
Substitution
Lineups
Middlesbrough
(3-5-2)
Starting XI
J. Lumley
#1
A. Dijksteel
#2
N. Taylor
#3
D. Fry
#6
M. Tavernier
#7
J. Howson
#16
P. McNair
#17
M. Crooks
#25
A. Connolly
#26
I. Jones
#35
F. Balogun
#47
Substitutes
Derby
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
N. Byrne
#2
C. Forsyth
#3
K. Bielik
#5
M. Bird
#8
T. Lawrence
#10
L. Buchanan
#26
R. Allsop
#31
C. Davies
#33
J. Knight
#38
L. Thompson
#42
L. Plange
#48
Substitutes
Match Statistics
Middlesbrough
Derby
45%
Possession
55%
14
Shots
6
9
Shots on Target
1
2
Blocked Shots
5
13
Fouls
12
6
Corners
7
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
1
0
Saves
6
403
Passes
488
312
Accurate Passes
384
77%
Pass Accuracy
79%
Team Comparison
51.8
Overall Strength
44.9
56.7%
Attacking Power
43.3%
51.5%
Defensive Strength
48.5%
58.8%
Current Form
41.2%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Middlesbrough
Derby
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
35%
|
30%
Avg Total Goals
2.4
|
2.2
Cards Analysis
Middlesbrough
2/Game
91
3
0-15'
6
16-30'
12
31-45'
14
46-60'
11
61-75'
25
76-90'
26
Derby
1.7/Game
74
5
0-15'
3
16-30'
9
31-45'
8
46-60'
18
61-75'
16
76-90'
25
Season Comparison
2021/2022
Middlesbrough
20W 10D 0L
|
59:50
|
1.52 ppg
Derby
14W 13D 0L
|
45:53
|
1.2 ppg
2020/2021
Middlesbrough
18W 10D 0L
|
55:53
|
1.39 ppg
Derby
11W 11D 0L
|
36:58
|
0.96 ppg
2019/2020
Middlesbrough
13W 14D 0L
|
48:61
|
1.15 ppg
Derby
17W 13D 0L
|
62:64
|
1.39 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
56.8%
Both Teams Score
Yes
58.4%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Middlesbrough
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Derby
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 94.8% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 94.8% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 79.5% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 79.5% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 72.6% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 69.1% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 67.7% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 67.0% | Good |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 65.6% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 65.6% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 65.0% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 60.9% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 59.3% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 58.4% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 57.1% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 56.8% | Fair |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 56.8% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.6% | Fair |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 11.1% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
94.8%
Over 1.5
79.5%
Over 2.5
56.8%
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 0.5
5.2%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.3%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
21.1%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
69.1%
Goals After 80'
27.4%
Goals Both Halves
59.3%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
57.1%
Over 11 Corners
33.0%
Home Most Corners
65.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
32.3%
Home More Shots
60.9%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
52.6%
Away Exceed xG
50.3%
Total xG Over 2.5
56.8%
High xG Variance
44.8%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
10.2
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Middlesbrough
75 Points
4