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Levante VS Osasuna

Levante logo

Levante

V. Garcia 35'
V. Garcia 37'
K. Etta Eyong 90'
3-2
Full Time
Osasuna logo

Osasuna

J. Toljan 3'
A. Budimir 11'
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia Friday, May 8, 2026 At 15:00 Edt José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain

Predicted Outcome

Away 44.90%

Prediction

Model probabilities are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Outcome probability

Home
36.25%
Draw
18.86%
Away
44.90%

Model expected goals

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Goal probabilities

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All competitions · Earlier completed matches, with a four-hour cutoff buffer. Scores include extra time where played; penalty shootouts are excluded.

Head to Head

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Levante VS Osasuna - Match Preview

Tactical Disparity at the Ciudad de Valencia

As Levante prepare to host Osasuna at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on May 8, 2026, the stakes for the home side could not be higher. Sitting in 19th place in La Liga, Levante are fighting for their top-flight survival, while Osasuna occupy a relatively secure 10th position. Levante manager Luis Castro faces the daunting challenge of turning around a side that has struggled for consistency, particularly in their home form, managing only 5 wins from 17 matches at this venue. In contrast, Osasuna, under the guidance of manager A. Lisci, arrive with a psychological advantage derived from a historical dominance in this fixture.

Historical Patterns and Midfield Dynamics

Head-to-head records are often dismissed by some, but the data in this pairing reveals a clear trend. Over 10 meetings, Osasuna have secured 5 victories compared to just 2 for Levante. Furthermore, Osasuna have outscored their opponents 12 to 6, indicating they consistently find ways to neutralize the Levante attack while remaining clinical in the final third. Tactical control of the midfield will be pivotal. While Levante have historically commanded more possession—averaging 56.4% compared to 43.6% for Osasuna—they have failed to convert that dominance into meaningful results. A key player to watch for Levante is Carlos Álvarez, whose contribution of 3 goals and 1 assist provides a necessary creative spark, but he will need support from a defense that has conceded too many goals in the final quarter of matches.

The Final Third Battle

The closing stages of this match could be decisive. Osasuna possess a dangerous late-game threat, scoring 18 of their goals in the 76-90 minute window. With A. Budimir leading their line with 12 goals this season, Osasuna have a proven target man capable of capitalising on the high-pressure moments that define these relegation-threatened fixtures. Levante's defense, prone to conceding 16 goals in that same late interval, must maintain absolute focus if they are to avoid dropping vital points. Conversely, Levante find success in that same late window, having scored 13 goals there themselves, suggesting a high probability of action in the final minutes as desperation sets in.

Verdict

Osasuna enter this encounter as the more stable outfit with a clear mental edge built on their superior head-to-head record and the presence of a prolific goalscorer in A. Budimir. While Levante possess a home advantage and a strong desire to pull themselves out of the relegation zone, their inability to consistently close out matches remains a glaring weakness. Expect a tightly contested affair where the visitors' efficiency proves the difference, resulting in an away victory.

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Events

Team form (last 5)

Levante Levante L D W W L
Osasuna Osasuna L W L D D

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Starting XI

Formation

Substitutes

Team form (last 5)

Levante Levante L D W W L
Osasuna Osasuna L W L D D

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Match Statistics

Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Passes
Corners
Fouls

Team form (last 5)

Levante Levante L D W W L
Osasuna Osasuna L W L D D

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The full model analysis, probabilities and market values are available with a free account.

  • Model probabilities Win, draw and loss probabilities, with the breakdown behind each one.
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  • Match insights Tactical trends, strengths and the scenarios the model considers likely.
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Match probability

Home

Draw

Away

Expected goals (xG)

Home

Away

Shot locations

Team form (last 5)

Levante Levante L D W W L
Osasuna Osasuna L W L D D

League Position

Season 2025 · Latest available table, not the standings at kickoff.

Levante Levante 42 Points 16
Osasuna Osasuna 42 Points 17

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Match information

Competition
La Liga
Round
Regular Season - 35
Date
May 8, 2026
Time
15:00
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
City
Valencia
Capacity
25,534
Surface
Natural grass

Frequently Asked Questions about Levante vs Osasuna

Find the answers to the most common questions here.

The final score was Levante 3 - 2 Osasuna.

The match will be played at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in Valencia..

This match is part of the La Liga (2025 season, Regular Season - 35).

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